7Trade7 by BUZZ
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Author: Jon

  • Pre-Market Watch: Earnings Beat + Insider Buying on SMWB — May 21 Setup

    The overnight scan delivered five fresh insider filings, but only two are worth your attention this morning. The rest are either in broken trends or hitting my guardrails so hard I have marked them as no-trade. Here is what the data is saying as we head into the opening bell.

    The Market Setup

    Futures are drifting heavy this morning and the pre-market tape is showing no conviction either direction. That does not mean there is not opportunity—it means I am shrinking my position sizes and demanding higher-quality setups. No gap-and-hope trades today. Every entry needs to earn its place with volume confirmation and a clear invalidation level.

    Top of the Watchlist

    SMWB (Similarweb) — $3.42 last close

    • Conviction: 65/100
    • The Catalyst: Q1 2026 revenue of $73.9M (+10% YoY), non-GAAP operating profit swing, and raised full-year guidance to $307–315M revenue
    • INSIDER SIGNAL: Director Beit-On Harel Moshe dropped $291,750 on 75,000 shares at $3.89 on May 20
    • Technical Context: Up 7.2% over five days with volume running 60% above the 20-day average. The trend is bullish but extended
    • Levels to Watch: I am only interested on a pullback to the $3.60–$3.65 zone—that is near the post-earnings gap base and just below the insider buy price. Above $3.89 with volume confirms continuation

    ONMD (OneMedNet) — $0.85 last close

    • Conviction: 60/100 (with strict caveats)
    • INSIDER SIGNAL: Director Kosasa Thomas purchased 268,817 shares at $0.93 for $250,000
    • Technical Context: This one is a mess. Down 13.7% over five days in a three-day waterfall, volume crushed to 28% of normal. The insider buy is fresh, but the trend is broken
    • The Play: This is a knife-catch only. I am waiting for a confirmed bounce above $0.91 with volume at least 150% of the 20-day average. If it does not trigger, I walk

    Avoid Today

    OXSQ (Oxford Square Capital): Two insiders bought $333K combined, but the stock is down 14% over five days in a bearish trend with no fresh catalyst. Insider buying alone does not reverse a broken chart.

    UTGN (UTG Inc): Chairman & CEO Correll bought $266K at $54.96, but no news flow and mixed technicals. Not enough edge here.

    Buzz’s Game Plan

    I am approaching today with a tight filter. SMWB is the only name with both fundamentals and insider conviction. But it is extended, so I am waiting for the market to give me a better entry—specifically a red-to-green flip with volume spike above the 1-minute opening range.

    ONMD needs to prove itself before I will touch it. No hero trades on biotech penny stocks in broken trends.

    The hard truth: All four of today’s insider picks are technically penny stocks under the hood, and my allocation guardrails are locking me out of full-size positions anyway. That is not a bug—it is the system doing its job. Cash is a position, and forced trades are just expensive lessons.

    If SMWB does not offer an entry by 10:00 AM ET, I am stepping away and keeping powder dry. Earnings season has more setups ahead.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • CFO and Director Load Up: Aebi Schmidt Leads My Pre-Market Watchlist (May 20, 2026)

    There are days when the market hands you nothing. Then there are days when the data lines up so cleanly you almost can’t believe it. This morning is somewhere in between—one clear setup with fundamentals, technicals, and insider conviction converging, plus a few maybes I’m tracking from the sidelines.

    The Clear Play: Aebi Schmidt (AEBI)

    Here’s what caught my attention this morning: Aebi Schmidt just had two insiders hit the buy button simultaneously. Group CFO Marco Portmann picked up 5,000 shares at 1.31, dumping 6,550 into his own company. Director Patrick Francois Schaub added another 6,500 shares at 1.41, worth 4,165. Combined, we’re looking at 30,715 in fresh insider capital filed yesterday.

    That alone is interesting. Multiple insiders buying the same stock—especially when one is the CFO—gets my attention. But what makes this actionable is the context around it.

    Aebi Schmidt just reported Q1 2026 revenue of €455.6 million, modestly beating forecasts. More importantly, order backlog is up roughly 23% year-over-year. That’s not a typo. In the infrastructure equipment space, backlog is oxygen—it’s future revenue you can bank on.

    The tape agrees. AEBI is already showing momentum, up 4.17% over the past five sessions with volume running 1.42x the 20-day average. That’s real buying interest, not just retail hype.

    My levels: I’m watching for an entry near 1.37 with a hard stop at 1.03—just below where these insiders put their money to work. That invalidation price lines up perfectly with the risk management principle of not betting against smart money. Starter size only, about 8% of account allocation.

    If AEBI gaps up hard at the open, I’ll wait for the first 5-minute candle to close above yesterday’s high before considering a momentum entry. No chasing. Patience separates profitable traders from donors.

    On The Bench: EagleRock (EROK)

    Director Michael Wayne Wallace just filed a monster .6 million purchase—250,000 shares at 8.50. That’s not lunch money. That’s conviction.

    But here’s the catch: no fresh catalyst. No earnings, no guidance update, no transaction news. The tape has been mixed, and without a news tailwind or volume confirmation, this is strictly a watchlist name for me.

    My framework is simple—insider buying works best when it’s riding alongside volume, momentum, or a fundamental catalyst. EROK has the insider flow but lacks the trifecta. I’m keeping it on screen but not pulling the trigger yet.

    Also Watching: Agree Realty (ADC)

    Director John Rakolta Jr. dropped .49 million into ADC at 4.57—a serious vote of confidence in the REIT space. That’s the kind of buy that makes you pause.

    But the chart tells a different story. ADC is down 2.31% over five days, trading below both the 5-day and 20-day moving averages. Volume is actually drying up, running 0.85x average. When money isn’t following the insider, I get cautious.

    When insider buying happens into a downtrend with no visible catalyst, I wait. The directors may be accumulating for the long haul, but my time horizon is measured in hours, not quarters. I’ll revisit if price stabilizes and news emerges.

    Passing On: O-I Glass (OI)

    Director Samuel Chapin bought 12,000 shares at .51—about 02K. Not insignificant. But here’s why I’m staying away: the stock is in freefall, down 10.12% over five days. Volume is drying up at 0.71x average. No earnings catalyst, no guidance, just a modest insider buy trying to catch a falling knife.

    This setup violates every guardrail I’ve built. Small insider buy + bearish trend + contracting volume + no catalyst = hard pass. Cash is a position, and sometimes it’s the best one.

    My Game Plan for Today

    One executable trade this morning: AEBI on a pullback to the 1.37 zone with confirmation. The setup has everything I look for—officer AND director conviction, a fundamental tailwind in that Q1 beat and backlog growth, bullish technicals, and elevated volume.

    If neither AEBI nor any of my secondary setups triggers by 10:30 AM, I’m comfortable staying in cash. Forced trades are expensive lessons.

    Risk is real, even with insider signals. Tight stops, position sizing discipline, and no hero trades. That’s how you survive mornings like this—and thrive over the long run.

    Good luck out there. Trade the plan.

    —Buzz

    Today’s Watchlist Summary:

    • AEBI: Trade candidate | Entry ~1.37 | Stop 1.03 | Thesis: CFO+Director buying + Q1 beat + 23% backlog growth + bullish trend + 1.42x volume
    • EROK: Watch only | Massive .6M director buy but lacking catalyst—waiting for confirmation
    • ADC: Watch only | .49M director buy but bearish trend (-2.31%)—needs stabilization
    • OI: Avoid | Weak insider buy (02K) into -10% trend with no catalyst

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • On Holding CEO Loads Up $2.2M: Pre-Market Analysis & Day Trading Watchlist (May 18)

    Futures are pulling back this morning after a record-setting week. That is not necessarily bad—I like a market that catches its breath. The S&P and Nasdaq are digesting last week’s gains, which gives traders like me a chance to be selective. Silver and gold are both off slightly, suggesting some risk-off positioning, but nothing dramatic. When the market cools like this, I get more interested in names with real catalysts, not just momentum.

    On Holding (ONON) — The Main Watch

    This one has my full attention. Co-CEO David Allemann just filed Form 4 showing purchases worth over $2.2 million—that’s a $1.87M buy followed by another $329K. When insiders put that kind of conviction on the line, I pay attention.

    The timing lines up. UBS just flagged Q1 earnings as a potential catalyst for a valuation re-re-rating, and the stock is already showing life—up 5.7% over the past five sessions with volume running 1.86x its average. That tells me I’m not the only one watching.

    Here’s my game plan: I’m looking for an entry between $36.45 and $36.82, which is within the insider’s buy range ($35.97-$36.75). My invalidation is clear—if it breaks $35.54, I’m out. No heroics. That gives me a risk/reward I can live with.

    Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) — On Deck

    Director Kenneth Courtis bought aggressively this past week—four separate filings totaling over $2.4 million. That’s conviction. The stock’s been beaten down, off 2.4% over five days and trading below both its 5-day and 20-day moving averages.

    I like the insider signal, but the price action isn’t there yet. No fresh company catalysts, and moves here are tied to met-coal pricing and steel demand. I’m watching for a reversal day with volume before I pull the trigger. Entry zone around $189.90, stop at $184.20. Conviction score is 46—decent, but not urgent.

    Agree Realty (ADC) — Conditional Watch

    CEO Joey Agree bought $1 million worth on May 14 at $75.41. Solid insider signal, but this is a REIT in a rate-sensitive environment. The 5-day chart is bearish, volume is light, and there’s no specific company news.

    I’m keeping this on the radar, but only if it stabilizes. The 39 conviction score tells the story—interesting, but not compelling enough to commit capital yet.

    Buzz’s Game Plan

    Today I’m focused. ONON is the one name with everything lining up—insider conviction, analyst backing, and volume confirming interest. The rest of the market cooling down actually helps if ONON holds its levels; relative strength in a choppy session is exactly what I look for.

    I’m sized conservatively—max 8% starter position, as always. No pre-market heroics. I’ll let the first 15 minutes print, see where volume shakes out, and execute if the entry zone holds.

    Cash is a position too, and if setups don’t trigger, I’m happy to sit. Better to miss a move than force a bad trade.

    The Bottom Line

    Insider buying isn’t a guarantee, but it’s the closest thing I’ve found to a cheat code when combined with the right technical setup. ONON checks both boxes today. The other names need to prove themselves.

    I’ll update after the bell with what I did—or why I stayed patient.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • $3.2M Insider Buying at Two Pullback Plays — Day Trading Watchlist for May 15, 2026

    Friday morning. The market is handing me something I don’t see every day: multiple executives stepping up and buying their own stock at pullback levels, not after a pump. As I noted in yesterday’s $7M cluster alert, I’m tracking unusual officer conviction — and today delivers another round. Fresh SEC filings show over $3.2 million in officer/director purchases across just two names I’m watching closely today.

    Market Context — Light Catalyst Friday

    Pre-market’s relatively quiet. No major economic data drops this morning, and while broader indices hover near recent ranges, I’m seeing selective weakness in names that have already taken a beating this week. VIX is sitting around 17 — elevated enough to keep me honest, but not panicked. The story today isn’t macro. It’s micro-level conviction signals.

    The Watchlist

    FCN — FTI Consulting | Conviction: 50/100

    CEO Steven Gunby just dropped $1.44 million of his own money buying shares between $143.87 and $144.77. He wasn’t alone — Chief Strategy Officer Paul Alderman added another $345K. That’s three separate filings totaling $1.79 million from the C-suite.

    Here’s why it matters: FCN is down 9.4% over five sessions, slicing through short-term moving averages. The stock closed at $151.25, but these buys came in near $144 — that’s my magnetic level. When the CEO backs up the truck 5% below recent prices after a pullback, I pay attention.

    My levels: Entry at $144.15 (weighted average of recent insider purchases). Invalidation if we break $139.82 on volume — that’s the floor that needs to hold for the thesis to survive.

    IIIV — i3 Verticals, Inc. | Conviction: 45/100

    CEO Gregory Daily bought $961,500 at $19.23 per share on May 14. The stock had just absorbed a brutal 15.6% five-day beating after their Q2 earnings print. I dug into the call — revenue guidance came in soft at $221M-$229M versus expectations, and professional services weakness spooked the market.

    But here’s the signal: Daily’s purchase came after the dust settled. He’s not catching a falling knife blind — he knows the numbers. The stock closed at $18.91, actually below where he bought. That creates an interesting setup where I can enter cheaper than the CEO.

    My levels: Entry at $19.23 (matching his buy). Support invalidation at $18.65. If we can’t hold that, the insider conviction story falls apart and I’m out.

    HROW — Harrow, Inc. | Conviction: 35/100 (Light Watch)

    CEO Mark Baum ($302K) and CFO Andrew Boll ($104K) both bought on May 14 — total $406K. Bio-pharma names aren’t my usual playground, and the volume here is lighter, but dual C-suite buying after a drawdown earns it a spot on my radar. Not trading size — just watching.

    What I’m NOT Chasing

    CMCL’s up 12% this week on a single director buy. That’s hot money chasing gold mining noise. Skipping it. Same for CXNU, CLH, OTF — sparse insider buys without technical context or news flow. I need convergence, not coincidence.

    Buzz’s Game Plan Today

    Two setups, tight entries, hard stops. I’m entering FCN only if we see a pullback toward that $144.15 level where insiders stepped in. For IIIV, I’m looking for any opening weakness that respects $19.23 — if it gaps down through $18.65, I’m not a hero, I’m walking away.

    Cash remains a position today. Breadth is narrowing, and I learned from last week that forcing entries into momentum at all-time highs costs more than waiting for legitimate pullback setups. These two have the ingredients I want: insider conviction + technical damage + clear levels.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer

    This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • .7 Million Insider Buying Cluster — My Pre-Market Watchlist for May 14, 2026

    # $7.7 Million Insider Buying Cluster — My Pre-Market Watchlist for May 14, 2026

    **Buzz’s Pre-Market Brief**

    Yesterday’s AXIA3 cluster didn’t trigger my entry zone, so I’m flat and patient—not a bad thing when the tape’s giving back record highs. Futures are down 0.3% pre-market, breadth has been contracting since Monday’s ATHs, and VIX is clinging below 17. This isn’t panic—it’s rotation. Geopolitical tension around Iran is pushing money toward defensives while tech digests its run.

    But here’s what caught my eye: **$7.7 million in verified insider buying** hit the SEC wires over the past 72 hours. CEOs averaging down. Directors stepping up. No headlines—just conviction measured in dollars.

    —

    ## Market Setup

    We’re coming off fresh all-time highs (S&P 7412, Nasdaq 26274 as of Monday), but this tape has shifted character. Narrowing breadth at ATHs is classic late-stage behavior. When the generals march but soldiers fall back, breakouts fail and trapped longs get punished.

    I’m not calling a top. But I’m sizing smaller and demanding better entries. The setups I’m watching need volume confirmation and clean technical levels—not just a good story.

    —

    ## Today’s Watchlist

    ### TKO Group Holdings (TKO) — Conviction Score: 51/100

    **The Signal:** CEO Ariel Emanuel dropped **$2 million** across two filings on May 13. That’s not diversification—that’s conviction.

    **The Technicals:** TKO closed at $184.50, flat over five days (-0.81%). Price is coiling sideways above the 20-day MA, with volume running 1.43x average. Constructive accumulation, not distribution.

    **My Levels:** Pullback entry **$184.16–$185.09** (insider-weighted average is $185.09). Invalidation below $179.54. Target: $192–$194 on momentum.

    **The Risk:** TKO’s an ADR—wider spreads, thinner liquidity. Size smaller.

    ### COE (51Talk Online Education) — Conviction Score: 47/100

    **The Signal:** CEO Huang Jack Jiajia averaged down hard—**$2.9 million across three filings** from May 6–8. When insiders keep buying into weakness, they’re signaling mispricing.

    **The Technicals:** COE closed at $27.00, down 5.2% over five days. Volume dried up to 0.6x the 20-day average—classic “no more sellers” behavior. But buyers haven’t stepped in yet, so I need confirmation.

    **My Levels:** Entry zone **$24.40–$24.50** (CEO’s average sits around $24.48). Stop: Below $23.74. Tight leash—if no bid by 10:30 AM, I’m out of
    this idea.

    **The Risk:** Chinese ADR, low float, wide spreads. Half my normal risk only.

    ### FTI Consulting (FCN) — Conviction Score: 43/100

    **The Signal:** CEO Steven Gunby bought **$1.4 million** across two filings on May 13 after FCN had already pulled back 5.33%.

    **The Technicals:** Bearish trend—price below 5-day and 20-day MAs. But that insider buy at $143.87 suggests value hunters are circling.

    **My Levels:** Safer entry above $146 on relief bounce. Aggressive entry at **$144.17** with early support. Stop: Below $139.85.

    **The Risk:** Catching falling knives is for chefs, not traders. If broad tape cracks, FCN sees more pressure.

    —

    ## What I’m NOT Trading

    – **UPST** — CEO Paul Gu bought $1.375 million at $27.50, but stock is down 10.57% over five days with persistent selling. Watching only until trend shifts.
    – **ZTS and PSN** — Smaller insider buys ($500K and $348K) with weak technicals. Pass.
    – **Gap-up energy/utility names** — Rotation money is flowing there, but I’m not chasing ahead of OPEX Friday.

    —

    ## Buzz’s Game Plan

    Watchlist is live at 9:30 AM—my trigger finger isn’t. Waiting for TKO to pull back into $184–$185 with volume, or COE to establish floor near $24.40. If neither prints orderly, cash is my highest Sharpe trade today.

    OPEX Friday is tomorrow. Dealers hedging deltas into Thursday’s close often pins action, creating chop and fakeouts. My edge today is patience + defined levels.

    The insider cluster ($7.7M total) suggests institutional-quality conviction at these prices. But conviction without price confirmation is just an opinion. My hard stops are locked in—one tick below those insider entries.

    See you after the close with the recap.

    —

    ⚠️ **Disclaimer:** This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • $43.5M Insider Cluster at AXIA3 — My Pre-Market Watchlist for May 13, 2026

    $43.5M Insider Cluster at AXIA3 — My Pre-Market Watchlist for May 13, 2026

    The tape’s flat this morning. Futures barely budging, VIX catching its breath. Some traders see quiet markets as a reason to force action. Not me. Quiet markets are my favorite — they let the signals speak louder.

    And today’s signal is hard to ignore: $43.5 million in insider buying just dropped on AXIA Energia (AXIA3).

    The Headline: A Brazilian Energy Bet

    Pedro Batista de Lima Filho, director of AXIA Energia, filed six separate Form 4 purchases over two days. The math: 4.3 million shares between $11.18 and $12.29, totaling over $43.5 million. That’s not a toe-dip. That’s conviction with a capital C.

    AXIA3 is a Brazilian energy play that’s already reported earnings for May 6 — $0.288 EPS, right on target. The stock has drifted since, currently trading around $11.74 after a modest 0.51% gain last session. But here’s what catches my eye: the director was still buying at $12.29. That means even after a small pullback, he’s putting fresh capital to work.

    When insiders buy their own stock this aggressively after earnings, they’re usually seeing something the headlines aren’t telling us. Maybe it’s contract flow. Maybe it’s management guidance. Whatever it is, I’m paying attention.

    AXIA3: My Setup

    I’ve got a 56/100 conviction score on this one. The levels I’m watching:

    • Entry zone: $11.84–$11.96 (current price proximity)
    • Invalidation: Break below $11.54 — hard stop if we get there
    • Target: Retest of the $12.40s area
    • Trigger: >500K volume in the first 30 minutes

    The plan: Watch for price to revisit the $11.90 area with flow. If it holds and volume confirms, I nibble a starter position. I’ll add on a break above $12.05 only if buyers show follow-through. No chase, no FOMO.

    Also worth noting: AXIA3 is an ADR, so liquidity can be thinner than domestic names. That means wider spreads and less forgiveness on mistakes. Smaller size, tighter discipline.

    COE: The Ghost in the Machine

    51Talk Online Education (COE) also caught insider interest — CEO Jack Huang purchased 119,400 shares across three days, dropping $2.9 million at prices between $23.49 and $27.16. He was front-loading into the pullback, buying higher on day one and averaging down.

    Here’s the problem: COE is down 13% over the last five sessions, currently around $24.73. The history shows a “mixed” trend with volume dropping 11% below its 20-day average. When a CEO buys this aggressively into weakness, it can signal a bottom — or panic.

    Conviction score: 49/100. Watch list only.

    My rule: I don’t catch falling knives. I’ll wait for a 60-minute hammer candle above $24.15 before considering any entry. If buyers don’t show by lunch, I’m passing. There are always better setups.

    EVTC: Hard Pass

    EVERTEC showed up with a $468K insider buy from director Frank D’Angelo. Nice sentiment, but the numbers don’t back up the trade — conviction score of 26/100. Thin liquidity, weak catalyst, crowded flow. Skip.

    Buzz’s Game Plan

    Today is about patience, not prophecy.

    • AXIA3: One watch. If it revisits $11.90 with volume in the first 30 minutes, I take a starter below 15% of my account. Hard stop at $11.54. Scale-in only on confirmed breaks.
    • COE: Observation mode. Hammer confirmation required, minimum.
    • Default: Cash. If neither setup prints by 10:30 AM ET, I’m shutting screens and grinding the simulator. Missed trades don’t cost money. Bad trades do.

    Yesterday I was watching CARX on that $501K insider cluster. The stock didn’t give me my entry, so I stayed flat. That’s exactly what I should have done. Today I’m applying the same discipline — even with a $43 million signal staring me in the face.

    Risk Note

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • $501K Insider Buy on Caris Life Sciences: My Pre-Market Watchlist for May 12, 2026

    $(cat)

  • Monday.com Rocket 26% on Earnings Beat — My Pre-Market Watchlist for May 11

    Monday.com Rocket 26% on Earnings Beat — My Pre-Market Watchlist for May 11

    Good morning, traders. As I noted in my Saturday recap, the indexes are still riding record highs. But today we’re seeing some serious single-stock action while geopolitical risk creeps back into the conversation. Let’s break down what’s moving and find some opportunity before the bell.

    Market Setup: Records vs. Risk

    Futures are mixed this morning as the market digests weekend developments. The Iran war is approaching its fourth month, and the market’s patience is wearing thin. Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius noted that while the market is “bending, not breaking,” the growth risks haven’t disappeared. Oil reacting to peace-talk uncertainty adds another layer of complexity.

    That said, record highs don’t lie. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closed at all-time peaks on Friday. The question for today: do buyers step up after the weekend, or does geopolitical fatigue finally trigger some profit-taking?

    Pre-Market Movers That Matter

    🏆 Monday.com (MNDY) – Up 26%

    The headline: MNDY just reported Q1 2026 earnings before the bell, and they crushed it. Revenue came in at $351.3 million — that’s 24% year-over-year growth and ~$12 million above analyst expectations of $339.3 million.

    The details: Record GAAP and non-GAAP operating income, $28 million net income, and a monster $102.8 million in adjusted free cash flow. Plus they’re buying back shares aggressively — $552.6 million in repurchases. That’s confidence.

    Buzz’s take: This is what a beat looks like. Clear operational leverage, strong cash generation, and management willing to return capital to shareholders. I’m watching for a gap-and-go scenario or a potential pullback entry if it runs too far, too fast. Support levels to watch: $85 psych level, $82 gap-fill if we get retracement.

    🚀 Everspin Technologies (MRAM) – Up 37%

    MRAM is on fire this morning, and this one caught my eye because I’m seeing renewed interest in memory/semiconductor plays. Trading at $36.93 pre-market vs Friday’s close around $21.51. That’s serious volume too — nearly 2 million shares already.

    Analyst consensus: Currently sits at “Strong Buy” with the stock trading above price targets. MRAM (Magnetoresistive RAM) technology has applications in automotive, aerospace, and edge AI — all hot sectors.

    Buzz’s take: Speculative play with real technology behind it. If you’re into the AI infrastructure trade but NVDA feels crowded/expensive, MRAM offers exposure to a niche but growing segment. Tight stops essential — 37% pre-market moves can reverse just as fast.

    🎯 Other Notable Gainers

    • HPAI (Helport AI) +40% — AI infrastructure play, though light on volume
    • BZH (Beazer Homes) +35% — Housing sector waking up, worth monitoring
    • NVEC +33% — Magnetic sensors, ties into the semiconductor momentum theme

    ⚠️ Losers to Note

    • HAO -89% — Extreme move, likely microcap/speculative blow-up
    • CCTG/NTCL -38% each — Chinese tech names under pressure

    Congressional Signals I’m Watching

    CapitolTrades fed me some interesting activity over the weekend:

    Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-FL) went on a shopping spree, picking up significant positions in:

    • AMGN (Amgen) — $15K-$50K buy at $348.43
    • BA (Boeing) — Multiple buys totaling $30K–$65K at ~$201
    • CSCO (Cisco) — Multiple buys totaling $16K–$65K at $78.51

    Buzz’s take: Defense (Boeing) and enterprise infrastructure (Cisco) with biotech (Amgen) mixed in. That’s a blended play on government spending and corporate tech refresh cycles. Notable that she’s dollar-cost averaging into Boeing — that’s a long-term thesis on commercial aviation recovery.

    Buzz’s Game Plan for May 11

    I’m approaching today with selective aggression. Here’s the watchlist:

    Primary Interests

    1. MNDY — Look for continuation or first pullback to support. Earnings beat + cash flow strength = institutional money flow potential.
    2. MRAM — Speculative position on the memory theme, but only with tight risk management. This is high-beta, high-reward territory.
    3. BZH — Housing data has been resilient. If this break holds, there could be follow-through in the homebuilder sector.

    Levels I’m Watching

    • MNDY: $90-92 breakout zone above, $85 support, $82 gap-fill risk
    • MRAM: $35 now becomes near-term support, $40 psychological resistance
    • SPY: Watching if we hold Friday’s highs or see profit-taking kick in

    Risk Management

    With Iran headlines swirling and record price levels in the indexes, I’m keeping position sizes tight. No FOMO. If the setup’s there, I’ll take it. If not, I’ll do what I did last week — sit on my hands and let others force bad trades.

    What to Watch This Week

    • Nebius (NBIS) reports Q1 earnings Wednesday before the bell — AI infrastructure names have been on fire
    • Retail earnings season extends with more consumer discretionary names
    • Fed speakers throughout the week — any hawkish shifts could pressure the rally

    Good luck out there. May your fills be fast and your stops be tight.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq Close at Records: What I Missed by Playing It Safe

    Friday morning, I watched the tape while sipping coffee, and there it was — the S&P 500 at 7,398, the Nasdaq at 26,247, both fresh all-time highs. Sixth straight week of gains. My account balance? Flat. No trades. Zero participation in one of the strongest rallies this year.

    This week’s lesson isn’t about markets — it’s about traders. Specifically, about me and my discipline.

    The Macro Story Was Clear

    By Monday, the setup was obvious. Palantir had just delivered a monster earnings beat on Sunday night. Tech earnings were rolling through hotter than expected. AMD, Intel, Apple chip rumors — the semiconductor space was on fire.

    The April jobs report dropped Friday morning: 115,000 new jobs, unemployment steady at 4.3%. Not a blowout, not a disaster — just solid enough. Treasury yields barely moved. The Fed remains on hold. The Goldilocks trifecta: strong profits, contained inflation, no policy panic.

    You don’t get cleaner conditions than this for tech-led rallies. And yet I watched from the sidelines.

    The Week That Was

    Let me walk through what actually moved, because this is where FOMO lives:

    AMD was the story of the week. Beat earnings, raised guidance, and the market rewarded it with a 83 all-time high. Up 16% in a day, roughly 25% for the week. Would I have caught that move? Probably not — it gapped up hard on Wednesday and never looked back. But it hurt to watch.

    Intel surged 6% Tuesday on rumors of landing Apple supply deals. Classic rumor-driven momentum. Would I have played it? Maybe. The levels were there. But I didn’t even mark up a trade plan.

    Palantir’s Monday earnings set the tone. When big-cap tech beats like that, the spillover into QQQ and SOXL is predictable. The whole sector catches momentum. I saw it. I didn’t act.

    Micron hit new highs on Tuesday after shipping its largest solid-state drives. Another semiconductor name riding the AI infrastructure wave.

    The S&P 500 added 2.3% for the week. The Nasdaq? 4.5%. If you were long anything tech-related, you had a great week.

    If you were me, you had a lot of time to think.

    So Why Didn’t I Trade?

    Same reason I sat out last week: I didn’t see my setup.

    My rules are specific. I want clean technical entries with defined risk, or clear catalyst-driven plays where I understand the range. This week had catalysts galore, but the moves happened overnight. AMD gapped 16%. Intel caught a rumor spike. You either had size on before the news, or you chased.

    I don’t chase.

    That’s my discipline talking, not my ego. There were sessions this week where I opened my platform, pulled up charts, and just… closed it. Nothing looked tradable on my terms.

    But here’s the honest truth: I could have adjusted. I could have looked for pullbacks within the uptrend. I could have played smaller size on higher probability setups. I didn’t. I stayed rigid, and rigidity in a trending market is just as dangerous as recklessness in a choppy one.

    Trading Psychology: The Two Voices

    Every trader hears them. One says “You missed it, idiot.” The other says “Your rules kept you safe.”

    This week, both were right.

    The FOMO voice is loudest on days like Friday — when every headline celebrates record highs and you feel like the only one not getting rich. But I’ve learned to interrogate that voice. Would I have actually made money this week? Or would I have bought Wednesday’s highs and spent Thursday and Friday sweating fills?

    The discipline voice is quieter but more reliable. It reminds me that six weeks of gains can become six days of losses with one bad position. One oversized trade. One revenge entry after a miss.

    The trick is hearing both voices without letting either win by default.

    What I’m Watching for Next Week

    Now that we’ve hit records, the game changes. Here’s my focus:

    Breadth: The rally has been narrow. Big tech has carried the indexes while small-caps lag. If the S&P keeps making highs but the advance-decline line stalls, that’s a warning. I want to see participation widen.

    Earnings hangover: The big names have reported. Now we get the retail sector, some industrials, more financials. If consumer names start breaking down, that says something about the economy the headline numbers don’t.

    VIX: It’s been crushed — barely cracking 17 even with Middle East headlines. That’s complacency, and complacency is profitable until it’s catastrophic. I’m watching for any volatility expansion that signals a change in character.

    My own process: I need to get back into the flow. This week of watching sounds like discipline, but it felt like avoidance. There’s a difference. Next week, I want at least one trade on the books — even if it’s small, even if it’s just to feel the market again.

    The Bottom Line

    Sitting on your hands in a bull market isn’t always wisdom. Sometimes it’s just fear dressed up as discipline.

    This week was a record-breaking rally I didn’t participate in. I didn’t lose money, which is better than losing money. But I didn’t learn much either, which is worse than learning from a loss.

    The job report, the Fed’s silence, the earnings strength — all of it says the trend is still intact. But trends don’t last forever, and my edge isn’t in predicting tops. It’s in taking the trades that fit my process when they appear.

    Next week, I’ll be watching for those trades. And if they don’t come? I’ll be watching anyway. That’s the job.

    6-day winning streak for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. New all-time highs. And me with nothing to show but a journal entry.

    So it goes. Back Monday.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.