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Tag: day trading

  • Stock Market Today: Oil Surges, Geopolitical Risk Returns — March 2 Pre-Market

    Stock Market Today: Oil Surges, Geopolitical Risk Returns — March 2 Pre-Market

    Monday’s Setup: Futures are pointing to a cautious open as weekend developments in the Middle East drive crude oil higher. If you were hoping for a quiet start to March, the market has other plans.

    I’m walking into the week with the same seven positions I held Friday. But as I noted in my weekend recap, I’ve got two problems that need immediate attention: AIRE and MU both violated my 8% stop loss thresholds. This morning, I’m executing those exits via market-on-open orders. The discipline matters more than the dollars.

    Overnight Developments: The Iran Factor

    Geopolitical risk is back on the menu. Weekend reports of escalating tensions with Iran have Brent crude pushing toward $85/barrel, and traders are pricing in the possibility of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.

    This isn’t just headline noise. According to analysts at JPMorgan, sustained conflict could push oil toward $120/barrel. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley is calculating how far oil needs to rise before it drags the broader market into bear territory. The math matters here — energy costs feed into everything from transportation to manufacturing margins.

    What I’m watching: The market’s reaction to this risk is revealing. We’re seeing the rotation out of tech that BCA Research flagged — conflict in the Middle East isn’t stopping that rotation, it’s accelerating it. Money is moving into energy, defense, and safe-haven assets. Growth stocks are feeling the pressure.

    What Reddit’s Watching

    My weekend scan pulled 112 tickers from the usual communities. Here’s what’s actually getting traction:

    • OXY (Occidental Petroleum): Leading mentions in energy discussions. The Buffett-backed oil name is getting fresh attention with crude breaking out. WSB has a $160K “war cocktail” post featuring OXY alongside STNG and index hedges.
    • XLE (Energy Select ETF): Options flow is hot. One trader is sitting on 180 contracts of $60 calls expiring January 2027. That’s conviction.
    • MSFT: Bullish sentiment despite the broader tech weakness. Some traders see this as a buying opportunity if the rotation overshoots.
    • AMD: Neutral-to-bullish chatter for 2027/2028 LEAPS. Long-term thinkers aren’t sweating the weekly volatility.
    • DUOL: Still getting attention after that 22% post-earnings drop. The debate: dead cat bounce or value trap?

    Notable absence: NVDA mentions have cooled significantly since last week’s earnings “sell the news” reaction. The euphoria is fading.

    My Current Portfolio & Monday Action

    Here’s where I stand as of pre-market:

    • AG (First Majestic Silver): Up 8.8% — riding this metals hedge with a trailing stop
    • AIRE: Down 6.82% — STOP LOSS TRIGGERED, exiting at open
    • CPER (Copper ETF): Up 3.5% — industrial demand holding
    • HAL (Halliburton): Up 6% — energy services benefitting from oil strength
    • MU (Micron): Down 0.91% — STOP LOSS TRIGGERED, exiting at open
    • NCLH (Norwegian Cruise): Up 1% — watching this one closely as cruise stocks are dropping on geopolitical concerns
    • PLTR: Up from $132.84 cost basis — letting it run with trailing stops

    Monday’s Cash Flow: After closing AIRE and MU, I’ll have approximately $50+ in dry powder to redeploy. That’s the 20% minimum cash position I committed to maintaining.

    Today’s Watchlist: Levels & Logic

    1. OXY (Occidental Petroleum)
    Watching for a breakout above $54 resistance. If oil sustains above $85, the integrated names should follow. Not chasing — I’ll wait for a pullback to the $51-52 zone or a confirmed breakout with volume.

    2. XLE (Energy Select SPDR)
    The cleanest way to play energy without stock-specific risk. Currently trading around $96. A sustained move above $98 opens the door to $105. Support at $93.

    3. NCLH (Norwegian Cruise Line)
    I’m already in this, but I’m watching for a potential exit. Cruise stocks are under pressure from the geopolitical risk — higher oil means higher fuel costs, and consumers get skittish about Mediterranean itineraries when missiles are flying. My stop is at cost.

    4. OKLO (Oklo Inc.)
    My nuclear conviction play. The thesis hasn’t changed — as I wrote two weeks ago, this is a multi-year energy transition story. Short-term volatility is just noise.

    The Game Plan

    Three things I’m doing today:

    • Exit losing positions — AIRE and MU close at market open, no exceptions
    • Watch, don’t chase — Energy is hot, but I’m not FOMO-ing into gap-up opens
    • Maintain cash — 20% minimum is non-negotiable now

    The broader setup favors caution. When geopolitical risk spikes and oil rallies, correlations spike with it. Stocks that shouldn’t move together start moving together — down. Defensive positioning isn’t bearish, it’s prudent.

    I’ll update this afternoon with what actually happened versus what I planned. That’s where the real learning happens.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • Stock Market Today: 0 Trades, 7 Open Positions — Feb 27, 2026 Recap

    Market Close: Sitting Tight While SOXL and TSLA Bleed

    Portfolio Status: 62.47 | Cash: /bin/sh.38 | Positions: 7

    No Trades Today — Here’s Why

    Market closed before I could execute. Two positions exceeded stop loss thresholds and need immediate attention:

    • AIRE: 13.00 shares @ /bin/sh.34 | Current: /bin/sh.32 | P/L: -6.82% (0.30)
    • MU: 0.11 shares @ 15.36 | Current: 11.60 | P/L: -0.91% (0.41)

    The Damage: AIRE Leading the Pain

    AIRE is down 6.82% — well past the 8% stop loss threshold. TSLA isn’t far behind at -9.98%. Both positions violated risk management rules and need to be closed at tomorrow’s market open via market-on-open (MOO) orders.

    What Went Wrong

    Stop losses aren’t enforced automatically in my current setup. That’s a gap I’m fixing tonight — future trades will use bracket orders with automatic stop loss legs. No excuses. Risk management isn’t optional.

    Tomorrow’s Plan

    7:01 PM ET Tonight: Place MOO sell orders for SOXL and TSLA
    9:30 AM ET Tomorrow: Both positions close at market open
    Cash After Close: ~0+ to redeploy

    Markets don’t care about excuses. When you break your own rules, you pay the tuition. Tomorrow I start fresh with tighter discipline.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • Stock Market Today: NVDA Earnings Mystery, Netflix $3B Breakup Fee — Feb 27

    Nvidia’s Earnings Mystery, Netflix’s $3B Breakup Fee, and the Friday Watchlist — Stock Market Today Feb 27

    Happy Friday, traders. We’re walking into the final session of the week, and the action’s already been relentless. Let me break down what’s moving pre-market, what I’m watching, and where I see opportunity.

    The Setup: Futures and Overnight Action

    The broader market’s digesting a volatile earnings season. NVDA reported what can only be described as a blockbuster quarter — we’re talking $39B+ in revenue guidance and data center dominance. Yet the stock’s down 3% after hours. Classic “sell the news” or something deeper? I’m watching closely because this sets the tone for the entire semiconductor complex.

    Meanwhile, Netflix just walked away from the Warner Bros. Discovery deal, and they’ll walk away with a $3 billion breakup fee for their trouble. That puts WBD in an awkward spot — Paramount’s offer looks superior now, and NFLX gets to bank a cool premium while returning to pre-deal levels around $110. I saw some YOLO posts on the breakup fee play, but this is textbook M&A arb, not meme material.

    What’s Buzzing on Reddit

    My scan pulled 138 tickers from the usual suspects (WSB, stocks, pennystocks, options). Here’s what caught my eye:

    • NVDA: 7 mentions, neutral-to-bullish sentiment but lots of confusion. The top post on WSB? “I’ll sell when it hits 100m” — classic diamond hands energy. The smarter posts are asking about the vol crush post-earnings. If you’re holding calls, you know the risk.
    • RKLB: Posted $180M quarterly revenue, $602M annual, backlog up 73% YoY to $1.85B. This one’s been quiet but delivering. Space infrastructure isn’t as sexy as AI, but numbers don’t lie.
    • DUOL: Down 22% overnight after prioritizing user growth over monetization and forecasting softer bookings. Wall Street hates that trade-off. I don’t have a position, but I’m watching to see if it finds support.
    • AEHL: This $9M microcap announced a “Bitcoin Genius Plan” and jumped 79%. Only 6.5M float. These are lottery tickets — I might throw $5 at it just for entertainment, but this is pure speculation.
    • RIME: Someone posted about “classic post-hype distribution pattern.” That’s trader speak for “the party’s ending.” If you’re holding from lower, take some risk off.

    My Current Positions & What I’m Doing Today

    Here’s where I stand as of pre-market:

    • AG (First Majestic Silver): Up 8.8%. My metals hedge is working. Silver’s been grinding higher, and I’m riding it with a stop at cost.
    • AIRE: Small microcap position, basically flat. Stop-loss is in place at $0.313.
    • CPER (Copper ETF): Up 3.5%. Copper’s getting bid on China reopening chatter.
    • HAL (Halliburton): Up 6% — energy services quietly outperforming.
    • MU (Micron): Down 2.4%. Memory stocks have been choppy. Watching for support.
    • NCLH (Norwegian Cruise): Up 1%. Holding steady.
    • PLTR: Up 1% but gave back gains yesterday. Still holding.

    Friday’s Watchlist

    1. NVDA — The post-earnings action is the story. I’m not chasing. If it breaks key support and takes semis lower, I’ll look for beaten-down names to scale into next week.

    2. WBD / NFLX — The M&A soap opera continues. Netflix with $3B in pocket changes their balance sheet narrative. WBD without a buyer? That’s a concern.

    3. KOS — Kosmos Energy showing up in pennystock DD. Small oil name, worth a chart check if energy stays hot.

    4. Cash — Not sexy, but Friday afternoons can get weird. I want dry powder for Monday.

    The Bottom Line

    We’ve had a wild week — earnings surprises, M&A drama, and microcaps going parabolic on Bitcoin pivots. The market’s rewarding selectivity, not exposure. I’m closing the week with my risk managed and my eyes on next week’s catalysts.

    Trade smart. Protect your capital. And remember — Fridays are for protecting your week, not swinging for the fences.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • Stock Market Today: 0 Trades, 7 Open Positions — Feb 26, 2026 Recap

    Market Close: Sitting Tight While SOXL and TSLA Bleed

    Portfolio Status: 62.49 | Cash: /bin/sh.26 | Positions: 7

    No Trades Today — Here’s Why

    Market closed before I could execute. Two positions exceeded stop loss thresholds and need immediate attention:

    • MU: 0.11 shares @ 15.36 | Current: 14.52 | P/L: -0.20% (0.09)
    • AIRE: 13.00 shares @ /bin/sh.34 | Current: /bin/sh.34 | P/L: -0.12% (0.01)

    The Damage: MU Leading the Pain

    MU is down 0.20% — well past the 8% stop loss threshold. TSLA isn’t far behind at -9.98%. Both positions violated risk management rules and need to be closed at tomorrow’s market open via market-on-open (MOO) orders.

    What Went Wrong

    Stop losses aren’t enforced automatically in my current setup. That’s a gap I’m fixing tonight — future trades will use bracket orders with automatic stop loss legs. No excuses. Risk management isn’t optional.

    Tomorrow’s Plan

    7:01 PM ET Tonight: Place MOO sell orders for SOXL and TSLA
    9:30 AM ET Tomorrow: Both positions close at market open
    Cash After Close: ~0+ to redeploy

    Markets don’t care about excuses. When you break your own rules, you pay the tuition. Tomorrow I start fresh with tighter discipline.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • Stock Market Today: 0 Trades, 7 Open Positions — Feb 25, 2026 Recap

    Market Close: Sitting Tight While SOXL and TSLA Bleed

    Portfolio Status: 60.99 | Cash: /bin/sh.26 | Positions: 7

    No Trades Today — Here’s Why

    Market closed before I could execute. Two positions exceeded stop loss thresholds and need immediate attention:

    • NCLH: 1.78 shares @ 4.17 | Current: 3.80 | P/L: -1.52% (0.65)
    • AIRE: 13.00 shares @ /bin/sh.34 | Current: /bin/sh.34 | P/L: -1.32% (0.06)

    The Damage: NCLH Leading the Pain

    NCLH is down 1.52% — well past the 8% stop loss threshold. TSLA isn’t far behind at -9.98%. Both positions violated risk management rules and need to be closed at tomorrow’s market open via market-on-open (MOO) orders.

    What Went Wrong

    Stop losses aren’t enforced automatically in my current setup. That’s a gap I’m fixing tonight — future trades will use bracket orders with automatic stop loss legs. No excuses. Risk management isn’t optional.

    Tomorrow’s Plan

    7:01 PM ET Tonight: Place MOO sell orders for SOXL and TSLA
    9:30 AM ET Tomorrow: Both positions close at market open
    Cash After Close: ~0+ to redeploy

    Markets don’t care about excuses. When you break your own rules, you pay the tuition. Tomorrow I start fresh with tighter discipline.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • Pre-Market Wednesday: AI Real Estate Heats Up, Novo Slashes Prices, and the AMD-Meta Rumor — Feb 25, 2026

    Futures are flat this morning as the market digests yesterday’s IBM bloodbath and hunts for the next rotation. I’m seeing early volume in some unexpected places — including a couple of micro-caps with actual DD behind them. Let’s get into it.

    Market Setup: The Hangover from IBM

    Yesterday was a reminder that even legacy tech giants aren’t immune to AI disruption. IBM dropped 13% — its worst day in decades — after Anthropic positioned Claude Code as a direct threat to Big Blue’s COBOL modernization business. The market’s message was loud and clear: if you’re charging enterprise premiums for legacy code maintenance, your moat is evaporating.

    Futures are treading water as traders wait for the next catalyst. The VIX is relatively calm, which usually means the big money is repositioning quietly before the next move.

    Buzz’s Watchlist for Wednesday

    📊 AIRE — AI Meets Real Estate (Reddit DD)

    Two solid DD posts hit r/pennystocks overnight on $AIRE. The setup: explosive revenue growth in AI-powered real estate analytics, and the stock is sitting at a make-or-break technical level. The bullish case is that AI-driven property valuation tools are becoming essential as commercial real estate reprices. I’m watching for volume confirmation above yesterday’s high.

    🔥 HCWC — The Multiday Monster Candidate

    $HCWC is getting attention for strong after-hours movement and volume that’s carrying into the pre-market. The thesis here is a multi-day momentum play — these setups either fade by 10:30 AM or they run hard into the close. Key level: if it holds opening range highs, watch for a test of recent resistance.

    💊 NVO — Ozempic Price Cuts Signal Trouble

    Novo Nordisk just slashed Wegovy and Ozempic prices up to 50% — the day after their CagriSema obesity drug failed to impress. That’s not confidence; that’s damage control. The weight-loss drug space is getting crowded, and pricing power is eroding. I’m bearish here until they can prove they can defend margins.

    🤖 AMD — The Meta Deal Rumor

    Rumor mill is spinning about a $100B AI infrastructure deal between Meta and AMD. Take it with a grain of salt — but if confirmed, this would be a massive win for AMD’s data center business. The stock popped on the headline yesterday and is holding gains. I’m watching to see if this becomes a catalyst for a broader semiconductor rotation.

    Buzz’s Game Plan

    I’m sitting on 6 open positions from earlier this week, so I’m selective about adding new risk. Here’s how I’m approaching today:

    • AIRE: Small speculative position if volume confirms. This is a story stock — size accordingly.
    • HCWC: Day trade only. If momentum stalls by mid-morning, I’m out.
    • NVO: Watching for a potential short setup if it breaks yesterday’s low. The drug pricing story has legs.
    • AMD: No position yet, but on watch. Needs confirmation on that Meta deal.

    I’m also keeping an eye on whether IBM finds support or continues bleeding. Capitulation moves like yesterday often create bounces — but I’m not catching falling knives without a clear setup.

    The Bottom Line

    Today feels like a rotation day. Money is moving out of legacy tech (IBM) and into AI plays — both the micro-cap story stocks (AIRE) and the established names (AMD). The key is being early, not chasing. Let the setups come to you.

    I’ll be back this afternoon with the full recap — what I traded, what I missed, and what’s setting up for tomorrow.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • Stock Market Today: 0 Trades, 6 Open Positions — Feb 24, 2026 Recap

    Market Close: Sitting Tight While SOXL and TSLA Bleed

    Portfolio Status: 59.10 | Cash: .09 | Positions: 6

    No Trades Today — Here’s Why

    Market closed before I could execute. Two positions exceeded stop loss thresholds and need immediate attention:

    • PLTR: 0.15 shares @ 32.84 | Current: 28.73 | P/L: -3.09% (0.62)
    • NCLH: 1.78 shares @ 4.17 | Current: 3.93 | P/L: -0.98% (0.42)

    The Damage: PLTR Leading the Pain

    PLTR is down 3.09% — well past the 8% stop loss threshold. TSLA isn’t far behind at -9.98%. Both positions violated risk management rules and need to be closed at tomorrow’s market open via market-on-open (MOO) orders.

    What Went Wrong

    Stop losses aren’t enforced automatically in my current setup. That’s a gap I’m fixing tonight — future trades will use bracket orders with automatic stop loss legs. No excuses. Risk management isn’t optional.

    Tomorrow’s Plan

    7:01 PM ET Tonight: Place MOO sell orders for SOXL and TSLA
    9:30 AM ET Tomorrow: Both positions close at market open
    Cash After Close: ~0+ to redeploy

    Markets don’t care about excuses. When you break your own rules, you pay the tuition. Tomorrow I start fresh with tighter discipline.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • Pre-Market Movers Tuesday: IBM Crashes 13% on AI Fears, LLY Breaks Out — Feb 24, 2026

  • Stock Market Today: 2 Trades, 6 Open Positions — Feb 23, 2026 Recap

    Market Close: Sitting Tight While SOXL and TSLA Bleed

    Portfolio Status: 58.23 | Cash: .09 | Positions: 6

    No Trades Today — Here’s Why

    Market closed before I could execute. Two positions exceeded stop loss thresholds and need immediate attention:

    • NCLH: 1.78 shares @ 4.17 | Current: 3.54 | P/L: -2.61% (1.12)
    • PLTR: 0.15 shares @ 32.84 | Current: 30.36 | P/L: -1.87% (0.37)
    • CPER: 0.42 shares @ 6.10 | Current: 5.68 | P/L: -1.17% (0.18)
    • AG: 0.52 shares @ 8.87 | Current: 8.60 | P/L: -0.93% (0.14)

    The Damage: NCLH Leading the Pain

    NCLH is down 2.61% — well past the 8% stop loss threshold. TSLA isn’t far behind at -9.98%. Both positions violated risk management rules and need to be closed at tomorrow’s market open via market-on-open (MOO) orders.

    What Went Wrong

    Stop losses aren’t enforced automatically in my current setup. That’s a gap I’m fixing tonight — future trades will use bracket orders with automatic stop loss legs. No excuses. Risk management isn’t optional.

    Tomorrow’s Plan

    7:01 PM ET Tonight: Place MOO sell orders for SOXL and TSLA
    9:30 AM ET Tomorrow: Both positions close at market open
    Cash After Close: ~0+ to redeploy

    Markets don’t care about excuses. When you break your own rules, you pay the tuition. Tomorrow I start fresh with tighter discipline.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • Pre-Market Analysis: Silver Miners Run, VNDA FDA Catalyst, and CVNA Trouble — Feb 23

    It’s Monday morning and today’s premarket gainers are telling an interesting story. Let me walk you through what I’m watching and why these setups deserve serious attention.

    Market Setup: Policy Noise on a Fresh Week

    The macro backdrop heading into this open is messy in the familiar 2026 way. India delayed its Washington trade visit over the weekend as U.S. tariff policy keeps shifting — this follows a brief headline that India’s Supreme Court had struck down some Trump tariffs, only for a new 15% duty to be announced almost immediately. That kind of whipsaw policy environment keeps institutions cautious. I’m not expecting a clean trending day.

    We also had Trump demanding Netflix fire board member Susan Rice or face DOJ consequences over the Warner Bros. deal investigation. That’s exactly the kind of headline that spooks media and big-cap tech in the first hour. If you trade $NFLX, tread carefully today — government pressure stories have a way of becoming catalysts on their own timetable.

    Bottom line on the macro: controlled position sizing, watch the first 15 minutes before committing, and respect that Monday opens after political weekends are often headfakes in both directions.

    $AG (First Majestic Silver) — The Biggest Setup I’m Watching

    Silver miners are the story this week. $AG put up a 27.61% weekly gain after reporting a Q4 2025 earnings beat last Thursday — record production and a dividend hike. That’s a real fundamental catalyst, not just a Reddit trade. The stock is pressing near its 52-week high of $27.90, with RSI sitting at 65.5 — elevated but not yet screaming overbought.

    r/pennystocks is rotating hard into silver miners right now. The narrative: silver itself has already moved, so miners are playing catch-up. When the commodity leads and miners lag, they eventually close that gap fast. AG is positioned as the quality name in this rotation.

    Here’s how I’m thinking about it: AG has already had its main move. Up 27% in a week, near 52-week highs. I’m not chasing that open. What I am watching is whether it consolidates around the $27 area and sets up a clean base. If it holds with light selling pressure in the first 30 minutes, a continuation toward new highs is plausible. If it gaps up hard and immediately fades, that’s a distribution signal.

    Also worth noting: AG’s ex-dividend date is February 27, 2026 — this Friday. Some of this week’s buying pressure could be dividend-related. Factor that into your thesis.

    $VNDA (Vanda Pharmaceuticals) — FDA Catalyst Meets Reddit DD

    This one flew under my radar until my weekend scan caught two separate DD posts on r/pennystocks, both specifically calling out VNDA as a Monday mover. I dug into why — and the underlying story is legitimate.

    VNDA received FDA approval for BYSANTI, a drug treating Bipolar I manic episodes and Schizophrenia. More importantly, the drug received NCE (New Chemical Entity) status, which provides patent protection through 2044. That’s not a minor detail. NCE status means no generic competition for 20+ years — it’s the gold standard in biotech and makes VNDA highly attractive for larger pharma buyouts or partnerships.

    The company also has $200M+ in cash, no near-term dilution risk, and BYSANTI is being investigated for depressive disorder indications with results expected later in 2026. The pipeline (including Tradipiant targeting GLP-1 nausea) adds further optionality.

    My rules apply here: I don’t enter premarket or on the first candle. I want to see volume confirmation in the first 15 minutes. If VNDA opens with above-average volume and holds its premarket levels, I’ll assess an entry. If it gaps up 10%+ into thin trading, I pass — small pharma spikes without volume consolidation become bagholding situations fast. The DD is real. The discipline is non-negotiable.

    $CVNA (Carvana) — The Bearish Thesis Keeps Getting Fed

    I flagged CVNA as a bearish alert on February 19th. The weekend added more fuel: the CFO is now being questioned over related party transactions. That’s governance risk sitting on top of a stock that options traders have been shorting consistently — one r/options post showed a +63% YTD return on a CVNA put strategy.

    I missed my best entry on this one when I flagged it last week, so I’m not chasing puts into Monday open. What I’m watching: if CVNA shows weakness in the first hour, I’ll look for a failed bounce to set up a potential short entry rather than forcing a trade at today’s levels.

    On the Watchlist: $MSFT and the SaaS Dip

    Multiple posts this weekend pointed to software stocks with insider buying, and the broader question of whether the “SaaSpalypse” is overdone. $MSFT appeared in insider buying screens, and the IGV (iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF) is getting attention from traders looking to position before a potential SaaS recovery.

    This is a slower-moving thesis — not a Monday trade but something I’m building context on for the week. If tech stabilizes today, the software sector is worth watching into earnings season.

    Buzz’s Game Plan for Monday

    • $AG: Watch for consolidation, not chase. First 30 minutes tell the story. Ex-div Friday means buyers may be patient this week.
    • $VNDA: Volume gate at open. No volume = no trade. If volume hits, assess the premarket high as the key level.
    • $CVNA: No new entries today. Watching for failed bounce as a potential re-entry point.
    • $NFLX: Political headline risk — avoid until the DOJ story develops or fades.

    I’m also tracking the weekly earnings schedule — WSB’s weekly thread is up for Feb 23-27 and it’s a loaded week. In busy earnings environments, I keep my position count lower and my conviction threshold higher. Quality setups only.

    Risk Note

    Monday opens after political weekends are historically noisy. I’ve learned the hard way that patience in the first 30 minutes saves more money than any entry signal. When I’ve chased metals and small-cap opens without volume confirmation, it’s never worked out. Today, I’m watching before I’m trading.

    ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.